Solar System Formation · A Staged Reduced-Model Chain

No single engine spans cloud collapse to the Moon-forming impact. This entry chains eleven peer-reviewed reduced models — one per physical regime — on a shared narrative timeline, with two stages (terrestrial accretion, the Nice instability) driven by live REBOUND N-body. Each stage declares where its model is trustworthy and where it breaks.

CAIs ≡ t0 = 4567.3 Myr (Connelly+ 2012)  ·  Shu 1977 → Canup 2012  ·  11 stages · 4 model classes
MODEL CLASS  CHAINED REDUCED MODELS  eleven peer-reviewed stages on one timeline, not one continuous run
1 / 11
stage
Cloud collapse
regime
0 Myr
t since CAIs
Shu 1977
anchor model
analytic
model class
Stage 1 · Inside-out collapse · Shu 1977

A rotating prestellar core collapses to a protostar and disk

The singular isothermal sphere collapses from the inside out at a constant mass-infall rate; angular momentum lands material at a growing centrifugal radius, building the protoplanetary disk.

Loading N-body frames…
REBOUND mercurius / whfast pre-computed

State · live

Drag the timeline or press Play. The axis is a staged narrative (equal space per stage), not linear time — each stage shows its own physical epoch.

Drift velocity

01
stage 1 · 0 Myr
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1 · Why this entry is a chain, not a simulation

Planet formation is not one physics problem. It is a relay of at least four — self-gravitating hydrodynamics (cloud collapse), viscous/wind-driven disk evolution, two-fluid dust–gas dynamics (drift and the streaming instability), and gravitational N-body (embryo growth, migration, the giant-planet instability, the Moon-forming impact) — run over five orders of magnitude in time, from the ~0.5 Myr free-fall of a core to the ~100 Myr assembly of Earth. No code integrates the whole relay self-consistently; published "formation" results are always stitched from regime-specific calculations. This entry makes that stitching explicit. Each of the eleven stages declares the reduced model it stands on, the epoch it occupies relative to CAI formation, and the boundary at which it must hand off to a fuller treatment.

Four model classes appear, the same taxonomy the Models series uses elsewhere, plus live N-body where it is cheap enough to run honestly: analytic closed-form self-similar or perturbative solutions; snapshot parameterized tracks from published grids; N-body live REBOUND integration. The two genuinely N-body stages — terrestrial accretion and the Nice instability — are integrated with REBOUND (Rein & Liu 2012) using mercurius and whfast (Rein & Tamayo 2015); they are deliberately reduced runs (fewer bodies, shorter baselines than a publication study) and are labeled as such in their validity cells. They demonstrate the dynamical mode — giant impacts, resonance-crossing migration — not a converged outcome.

2 · The eleven stages and their anchors

Absolute times are keyed to CAI condensation, t0 = 4567.3 Myr (Connelly+ 2012). Stages 1–8 all complete inside the gas-disk lifetime (~3–10 Myr) and overlap heavily; stages 9–11 run for tens of Myr afterward. The timeline scrubber spaces the stages evenly for legibility — read each stage's true epoch from the table and the live panel.

#StageAnchor modelClassEpoch (since CAIs)Char. timescale
1Cloud / core collapse → diskShu 1977; Terebey-Shu-Cassen 1984analytic−0.1 → 0.5 Myrtff ≈ 0.5 Myr
2Viscous disk evolutionLynden-Bell & Pringle 1974; SS73analytic0.1 → 3 Myrtν ~ 0.1–1 Myr (10 AU)
3Dust settling + radial driftWeidenschilling 1977analytic0.1 → 1 MyrSt=1 drift ≲ 100 yr
4Streaming-instability planetesimalsYoudin & Goodman 2005; Johansen+ 2007snapshot0.2 → 1 Myr~orbital, on clumping
5Pebble + oligarchic embryo growthLambrechts & Johansen 2012; Kokubo & Ida 1998snapshot0.3 → 3 Myr10⁵–10⁶ yr (pebble)
6Giant-planet core accretionPollack+ 1996snapshot0.5 → 4 MyrMcrit ≈ 10 M⊕
7Grand Tack migrationWalsh+ 2011analytic0.1 → 5 Myrduring gas disk
8Photoevaporative disk dispersalClarke+ 2001; Owen+ 2012analytic3 → 10 Myrclearing ~10⁵ yr
9Terrestrial giant-impact accretionChambers 2001; Raymond+ 2009N-body10 → 100 Myr~30–100 Myr
10Giant-planet (Nice) instabilityTsiganis/Gomes/Morbidelli/Levison 2005N-body~10–100 Myr*2:1 resonance crossing
11Moon-forming giant impactCanup & Asphaug 2001; Canup 2012snapshot~30–100 Myrsingle event

* Stage 10 timing is shown in the modern early-instability placement (Nesvorný+ / Clement+ 2018), not the classic ~700 Myr Late-Heavy-Bombardment timing. See the stage-10 validity cell.

3 · Boundary of validity, per stage mandatory

The series rule is that every reduced model states where it fails, beside the figure it produces. Here that means eleven boundary statements — one per stage. The two recurring, field-level revisions to flag: Pollack's ~8 Myr core-accretion timescale (shortened to <1 Myr once pebble accretion is included) and the ~700 Myr Nice instability (now placed early, within ~100 Myr).

Where each stage's model is trustworthy — and where it isn't

S1Inside-out collapse

Self-similar collapse of a singular isothermal sphere; Ṁ = 0.975 cs³/G constant in time; material lands at rc ∝ t³.

valid · idealized non-magnetic core
fails · magnetic braking, turbulence, variable Ṁ; real disks smaller than TSC
S2Viscous disk

Lynden-Bell & Pringle self-similar spreading with Σ ∝ R⁻¹ and an α stand-in for turbulent viscosity.

valid · global mass/ang-mom budget
fails · MRI dead in cold midplane; modern transport is MHD disk winds, not local α
S3Radial drift

Drift peaks at Stokes number St≈1; vdrift,max ≈ η vK ≈ 50 m/s at 1 AU — the meter-size barrier.

valid · laminar single-particle drift
fails · pressure bumps/rings (ALMA) trap dust; barrier is bypassed, not hit
S4Streaming instability

Strong clumping needs St~0.01–1 and metallicity Z ≳ 0.02; collapses to ~100 km planetesimals (top-heavy IMF).

valid · pre-concentrated solids
fails · Z-threshold not universal; presupposes drift/trapping; VSI turbulence can suppress
S5Embryo growth

Pebble accretion grows cores in ~10⁵–10⁶ yr; oligarchs spaced ~5–10 mutual Hill radii; pebble isolation mass ~10–20 M⊕.

valid · prescribed pebble flux
fails · efficiency hinges on (uncertain) flux & St; 2D vs 3D regime matters
S6Core accretion

Critical core ~10 M⊕; three phases; crossover ~16 M⊕ then runaway gas.

valid · the growth-track topology
revised · original ~8 Myr Phase-II exceeds disk life; pebble accretion shortens to <1 Myr
S7Grand Tack

Jupiter migrates to ~1.5 AU then tacks outward at Saturn's 3:2 capture, truncating the inner disk → small Mars + belt dichotomy.

valid · one self-consistent scenario
contested · ~1.5 AU tack disfavored (~2 AU preferred); not robust to disk model
S8Disk dispersal

Two-timescale "UV switch": slow viscous draining, then inner-hole clearing in ~10⁵ yr once Ṁ drops to the photoevaporation rate. Lifetime ~3–10 Myr.

valid · transition-disk timing
fails · rate depends on EUV/X-ray/FUV field, uncertain by orders of magnitude
S9Terrestrial accretion · LIVE N-body

Real REBOUND mercurius with merging collisions. Reduced run: 16 embryos (~4 M⊕), 0.7–1.7 AU, 0.6 Myr, Jupiter perturber, modestly inflated collision radii (standard accretion-N-body technique).

valid · the giant-impact growth mode
not · full-mass assembly, ~100 Myr baseline, or a converged planet count — outcomes are stochastic, need ensembles
S10Nice instability · LIVE N-body

Real REBOUND whfast. Giants compact inside the J–S 2:1; a 35 M⊕ planetesimal disk drives divergent migration toward resonance crossing.

valid · planetesimal-driven migration toward 2:1
timing · shown EARLY (<100 Myr), not classic ~700 Myr LHB; reduced disk; post-instability close encounters approximate
S11Moon-forming impact

Canonical Mars-mass (~0.1 M⊕) oblique impact leaves a ~1.5–2 lunar-mass, mantle-dominated disk.

valid · the angular-momentum budget
unsolved · canonical disk is Theia-dominated, contradicting identical Earth–Moon isotopes → high-energy/synestia variants (Ćuk & Stewart 2012; Lock+ 2018)

Bottom line. Stages 1–8 are analytic/snapshot reductions valid for the morphology and timescales of each regime but blind to the magnetized, wind-driven, ring-structured detail that ALMA and modern MHD now demand. Stages 9–10 are honest but reduced N-body — correct in dynamical mechanism, not in converged outcome. Stage 11 is the one with an openly unsolved core (the isotopic identity problem). The animation is a teaching scaffold across the whole relay; each handoff is where you would reach for a dedicated code.

References